An economics professor studied 80 models used to create COVID-19 lockdown policies

and found that a majority of mandatory lockdowns during the pandemic were based on false assumptions and “tended to over-estimate the benefits and under-estimate the costs.”

The ineffectiveness of lockdowns may stem primarily from voluntary changes in behavior, according to Canadian economist Douglas Ward Allen.

Allen told The Epoch Times that “many of the studies early in the pandemic assumed that human behavior changes only as a result of state-mandated intervention,” including school and business closings, mask and social distancing orders and bans on private social gatherings. However, people’s voluntary behavioral changes were not taken into consideration, he said.

 “Human beings make choices, and we respond to the environment that we’re in, [but] these early models did not take this into account,” Allen said. “If there’s a virus around, I don’t go to stores often. If I go to a store, I go to a store that doesn’t have me meeting so many people. If I do meet people, I tend to still stand my distance from them. You don’t need lockdowns to induce people to behave that way.”


Foundation for Economic Freedom April 26, 2021

The Epoch Times May 10, 2021

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